NP2 Predictability & time series analysis
.3 Nonlinear time series analysis

Convener: Kurths, J.
Co-Convener(s): Yiou, P.
Wednesday, 22 April 1998
Lecture Room: M2

Chairperson: Kurths, J.

• 08:30 PROVENZALE, A.
  Potentials and limits of nonlinear time series analysis for the understanding of geophysical turbulence (Solicited Paper)
• 09:00 KWASNIOK, F.
  Deriving stochastical dynamical models from noisy time series
• 09:15 DETHLOFF, K.; WEISHEIMER, A.; HANDORF, D.; RINKE, A.; KURGANSKY, M.V.; PETOUKHOV, V.; JANSEN, W.
  Decadal climate variability in conceptional models of the atmosphere and the atmosphere-ocean system
• 09:30 STONE, L.; SAPARIN, P.I.; HUPPERT, A.; PRICE, C.
  El Nino chaos: pronounced noise induced effects and stochastic resonance in a model of the ENSO cycle
• 09:45 GHIL, M.
  The SSA-MTM toolkit: applications to analysis and prediction of time series (Solicited Paper)
• 10:15 MCSHARRY, P.; SMITH, L.A.
  On embedding realistic data
• 10:30 TIMMER, J.; WARDINSKI, I.; SCHWARZ, U.; HASINGER, G.; KURTHS, J.
  Linear and non-linear time series analysis of CYG X-1
• 10:45 FOURNIER, A.
  Resolution of a nonlinear function of a singnal into smooth and singular or intermittent parts, using wavelet paraproduct
• 11:00 KIRIAN, D.G.
  Research of quasiperiodic processes by a resonance method
• 11:15 FRISON, T.W.
  Nonlinear time series analysis in phase space
• 11:30 WOLF, F.; LANGE, H.
  Complexity analysis of long-term time series from the hubbard brook ecosystem study

11:45 LUNCH

12:00 Business Meetings
 
Chairperson: Yiou, P.

• 14:00 SMITH, L.A.
  The irrelevance of chaos in forecasting and "tiny" data sets (Solicited Paper)
• 14:30 SMITH, L.A.; ZIEHMANN, C.; KURTHS, J.
  Chaos and the (broken) bootstrap
• 14:45 TSONIS, A.A.; ROEBBER, P.J.
  Using nonlinear approaches to predict predictability and transitions in the atmospheric general circulation
• 15:00 MALAMUD, B.D.; TURCOTTE, D.L.
  Analysis of self-affine log-normal time series
• 15:15 DAVIS, A.; MARSHAK, A.; WISCOMBE, W.J.; CAHALAN, R.F.
  A simple criterion for detecting potentially spurious multifractality in limited datasets
• 15:30 FRAEDRICH, K.
  Low frequency variability in simple GCMs (Solicited Paper)
• 16:00 DUDOK DE WIT, T.
  Efficient coherent noise rejection by generalized singular value decomposition
• 16:15 IVANOV, L.M.; MARGOLINA, T.M.
  Spatial reconstruction of scalar fields for large ratios of the noise to reconstructing signal and unknown noise
• 16:30 TRAUTH, M.H.; SCHWARZ, U.; KURTHS, J.; HASELTON, K.; STRECKER, M.
  Varved pleistocene lake sediments in NW Argentina as archives of paleo-climate dynamics: comparison of past and modern rainfall variations
• 16:45 MACEK, W.M.
  Testing for an attractor in the solar wind
• 17:00 PETSCHEL-HELD, G.
  Risk analysis of global change
   
  17:15 END OF SUB-SESSION
   
   
  NP2 Predictability & time series analysis
  .3 Nonlinear time series analysis - Poster Session
   
  Convener: Kurths, J.
  Co-Convener(s): Yiou, P.
  Display Time: Monday, 09:00 - Friday, 13:00
  Authors in Attendance: Wednesday, 17:30 - 19:00
  Poster Area: AGORA 3 - NP
   
• NP031 URQUIZU, M.; CORREIG, A.M.
  Analysis of seismic dynamical systems
• NP032 BUENESTADO, P.; RODRIGUEZ, R.; SOLER, M.R.
  Objective spectral method applied to meteorological series
• NP033 PALUS, M.; NOVOTNA, D.
  Enhanced Monte Carlo SSA for detection of modes with nontrivial dynamics embedded in colored noise
• NP034 BALLESTER, J.L.
  Is there memory in solar activity?
• NP035 MACHARASHVILI, T.; CHELIDZE, T.; JAVAKHISHVILI, Z.
  Dynamics of temporal distribution of Caucasian earthquakes
• NP036 NAZAREVYCH, A.V.
  Spectral-temporal structure of nonlinear-parametric effects in rocks as an indicator of a geodynamic mode
• NP037 IVANOV, S.S.
  Statistical properties of dynamic systems: dependence on scales of resolution