EGS XXV General Assembly, Nice, France, April 2000

HS02.01 Dealing with extreme events (co-sponsored by NH): Predicting and estimating extremes of precipitation - Oral Programme
Attention: The numbers associated with the title of the contributions are the Manuscript Numbers for the Proceedings/Special Issue, the times associated with the names are the start-times of the oral presentations!

Convener: Montanari, A.
Co-Convener(s): Bardossy, A.
Editor(s): Bardossy, A.; Montanari, A.
Co- Sponsorship:

Friday, 28 April 2000
Lecture Room: Gallieni 3

Chairperson: Montanari, A.

08:30
HS02.01-0001		 PLANCHON, O.; MIZRAHI, F.; HERNANDEZ, K.
Heavy autumn rainfall in southern France and northeastern Spain

08:45
HS02.01-0002		 CARACENA, F.; MARROQUIN, A,; TOLLERUD, E.I.
A PV-Streamer's Role in a Succesion of Heavy Rain-producing MCSs over the Central U. S.

09:00
HS02.01-0003		 GROISMAN, P.Y.; SUN, B.-M.; MOKHOV, I.I.; KNIGHT, R.W.; KARL, T.R.
Intensification of convective processes in the northern hemisphere mid-latitudes: evidence from changes in heavy precipitation and cloud type frequency

09:15
HS02.01-0004		 RUDOLF, B.; FUCHS, T.; RAPP, J.; RUBEL, F.
How well do satellite observations represent daily precipitation amounts? A discussion based on case studies

09:30
HS02.01-0005		 BECHINI, R.; FABBO, R.; BERTATO, M.
An approach to rainfall estimation based on explicit DSD calculation through polarimetric radar measurements

09:45
HS02.01-0006		 PARODI, A.; BONI, G.
Phenomenological validation of a regional rainfall frequency analysis

10:00
HS02.01-0007		 DJERBOUA, A.; BOIS, P.; VERSIANI, B.; DUBAND, D.
Extreme rain analysis

10:15
HS02.01-0008		 KAHANA, R.; ZIV, B.; ENZEL, Y.
Synoptic climatology of rainstorms that induce floods in southern Israel: a key for improving flood prediction

10:30
HS02.01-0000		 BREAK
Chairperson: Bardossy, A.

11:00
HS02.01-0009		 FERRARIS, L.; GIANNONI, F.; REALE, O.; TURATO, B.
Synoptic and hydrological analysis of a flood event

11:15
HS02.01-0010		 FURCOLO, P.; STORTI, G.; VILLANI, P.
State space approach to extreme rainfall forecasting

11:30
HS02.01-0011		 COOPER, A.; PIERCE, C.
Nowcasts of convective precipitation using an object-oriented life cycle model of a convective cell

11:45
HS02.01-0012		 PONGRACZ, R.; BARTHOLY, J.; BOGARDI, I.
Fuzzy-rule based prediction fo extreme precipitation

12:00
HS02.01-0013		 BEGUERIA-PORTUGUES, S.; LORENTE-GRIMA, A.
Predicting and mapping extreme rainfall events in a mountain area, central Spanish Pyrenees

12:15
HS02.01-0014		 RANZI, R.; BACCHI, B.
Regional depth-duration-frequency curves: scaling properties and climate

12:30
HS02.01-0015		 LOUKAS, A.; VASILIADES, L.; DALEZIOS, N.R.; DOMENIKIOTIS, C.
Rainfall-Frequency Mapping for Greece

12:45
HS02.01-0016		 CARCIA-BARTUAL, R.; SCHNEIDER, M.
Estimating maximum expected short-duration rainfall intensities from extreme convective storms

13:00
HS02.01-0000		 LUNCH
Chairperson: Toth, E.

14:00
HS02.01-0017		 TOTH, Z.; ZHU, Y.; SZUNYOGH, I.; WOBUS, R.
Extreme precipitation events and their probabilistic prediction by the NCEP ensemble forecast system

14:15
HS02.01-0018		 CAMERON, D.; BEVEN, K.; TAWN, J.
Extreme rainfall simulation using a modified random pulse Bartlett Lewis stochastic rainfall model (with uncertainty)

14:30
HS02.01-0019		 BARDOSSY, A.; STEHLIK, J.; CASPARY, H.J.
Stochastic generating of areal precipitation extremes based on downscaling from atmospheric circulation patterns

14:45
HS02.01-0020		 BARDOSSY, A.
Disaggregation of daily rainfall for hydrological design purposes

15:00
HS02.01-0021		 FUCHS, T.; RAPP, J.; RUBEL, F.; RUDOLF, B.
Correction of synoptic precipitation observations due to systematic measuring errors with special regard to precipitation phases

15:05
HS02.01-0022		 OLSSON, J.; UVO, C.B.; JINNO, K.
Statistical atmoshperic downscaling of extreme rainfall in southern Japan by a neural network

15:10
HS02.01-0023		 MENEGUZZO, F.; MANCINI, M.; GOZZINI, B.; MESSERI, G.; ROSSI, M.; GRIFONI, D.
A flood forecasting system for the Arno river based on precipitation thresholds and mesoscale rainfall forecasting

15:15
HS02.01-0024		 BECKMANN, TH.; HATTERMANN, F.
Influence of precipitation downscaling on run-off generation in flood events

15:20
HS02.01-0025		 PEREKHODTSEVA, E.
Dynamic-stochastic model of forecast of extreme values of precipitation for warm season (heavy rainfalls) and cold season (heavy snowfalls) over European part of Russia and Europe

15:25
HS02.01-0026		 SMITHERS, J.; SCHULZE, R.; PEGRAM, G.
Techniques for estimating short duration design storms in South Africa