NP2 Nonlinear timeseries, chaos and predictability .3 Nonlinear time series analysis I Convener: Kurths, J. Co-Convener(s): Provenzale, A. Tuesday, 20 April 1999 Lecture Room: Jan Steenzaal Chairperson: Smith, L.A. 14:30 SCHREIBER, T. Constrained randomisation of time series for nonlinearity tests (Solicited Paper) 15:00 KURTHS, J.; WITT, A. Testing stationarity in time series 15:15 PARADISI, P.; OLLA, P. Intermittency, synthetic turbulence and wavelet structure functions 15:30 PROVENZALE, A.; VON HARDENBERG, J. Intermittend time series analysis 15:45 GALLAS, J.A.C.; CORTE-REAL, J.; BERNARDINO, M.C. Coupled map lattices and climate variations 16:00 OSBORNE, A.R.; TRACY, E.R. A new approach for the time series analysis of surface water waves and vortex dynamics: the inverse scattering transform and Schottky uniformization 16:15 BREAK Chairperson: Schreiber, T. 16:45 ZIEHMANN, CH. Evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Solicited Paper) 17:15 MCSHARRY, P.; SMITH, L.A. Improving estimates of global Lyapunov exponents with finite data: a method of near returns 17:30 SMITH, L.A.; ZIEHMANN, C.; KURTHS, J. A bootstrap for Lyapunov exponents in aleatoric dynamical systems 17:45 SEURONT, L. Small-scale tidal mixing and plankton distributions: low order determinstic chaos versus high order stochasticity 18:00 JANOSI, I.M.; GALLAS, J.A.C. Growth of companies and water level fluctuations of the river Danube 18:15 TIMMER, J. Denoising time series by the Kalman filter (Solicited Paper) 18:45 OSBORNE, A.R.; ONORATO, M.; BERGAMASCO, L.; SERIO, M. Nonlinear Fourier analysis of deep water wave trains 19:00 END OF PART I NP2 Nonlinear timeseries, chaos and predictability .3 Nonlinear time series analysis II Convener: Kurths, J. Co-Convener(s): Provenzale, A. Wednesday, 21 April 1999 Lecture Room: Jan Steenzaal Chairperson: Provenzale, A. 09:00 MAHJOUB, O.B.; REDONDO, J.M. Scaling properties in wave breaking turbulence 09:15 CARL, P. Towards verification of climate systems conceptions from timeseries: Farey cryptogram, PP-SSA 09:30 MARWAN, N.; TRAUTH, M.H.; SCHWARZ, U.; KURTHS, J.; STRECKER, M.R. Climate dynamics of varved Pleistocene Lake sediments in NW Argentina 09:45 CORTE-REAL, J.; GALLAS, J.A.C. Climate variations modelled by a two-parameter quartic map 10:00 ACHATZ, U.; BRANSTATOR, G. A two-layer model with empirical linear corrections and reduced order for studies of internal climate variability 10:15 BREAK Chairperson: Kurths, J. 10:45 VON HARDENBERG, J.; PROVENZALE, A.; KURTHS, J. Telling apart the slow from the fast (Solicited Paper) 11:15 PASQUERO, C.; BALMFORTH, N.J.; PROVENZALE, A. Lorenz-Fermi-Pasta-Ulam 11:30 AHRENS, B. Cost minimization in time series data assimilation: an example using a genetic algorithm 11:45 LANGE, H. Cross recurrence quantification analysis of time series from small watersheds 12:00 CARBONE, V.; VELTRI, P. Time series of heliospheric turbulence through satellite observations 12:15 MACEK, W.M. Chaotic solar wind flow 12:30 VENEZIANO, D.; FURCOLO, P. Unbiased variant of the DTM method of multifractal analysis 12:45 END OF SESSION & POSTERS